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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Week 8 NCAA Odds and Ends

Tons of shake-ups (again) last weekend. 
  • Ohio State looked sluggish all game long.  They didn't show up until the second quarter.  Not smart when you play in the most physical conference in college football.  I think the loss effectively puts Ohio State out of national title contention.  The only ranked opponent left on their schedule is Iowa, and that may not still be the case when the two meet November 20.  They'll probably wrap up a BCS birth, but there are a whole slew of questions to be answered for this team.
  • The last team I would have expected to top the BCS rankings was Oklahoma.  They have been painfully inconsistent, and the questions surrounding their defense are endless.  But the Sooners have arguably the most manageable road from here on out, with the only two ranked teams have two ranked opponents left on their schedule are current #11 Missouri and #15 Oklahoma State.  If they're able to get their defensive backfield situated, there's no reason to think they can't contend for a national title.
  • LSU-Auburn could be the game of the month, or an absolute blow-out.  You don't stumble upon a 7-0 record in the SEC, but LSU has been far from impressive this season.  With that being said, they are getting better and better every week.  Jarrett Lee has shown he is more than capable of leading that team, and the defense has played as well as anyone.  However, if they can't find a way to move the ball and keep Cam Newton off the field, it's very likely they'll meet the same fate Arkansas did last weekend.
BCS Predictions 
  • National Title Game - Alabama over Oregon
    • I still think the Tide will win out and repeat as champs.  They're loaded on both sides of the ball, and their two-deep is impressive.  Oregon has finally made me a believer after their defense tightened at the right times against Stanford.
  • Rose Bowl - Wisconsin over Boise State
    • This will be a great one to watch, but Wisconsin is too physical for the majority of the teams in the country.  Boise can win if they are able to get their play makers in space, however.  
  • Orange Bowl - Florida State over West Virginia
    • Florida State looks to be laying the groundwork for their resurgence this year.  Greg Reid is the countries most exciting return man, and Christian Ponder is quietly putting up a Heisman type numbers.  The Mountaineers have looked good recently as well, jumping back in the top 25.
  • Fiesta Bowl - Oklahoma over South Carolina
    • The Sooners have the inside track on a national championship birth thus far, but I think their showdown with Oklahoma State the last week of the season will knock them out of contention. 
  • Sugar Bowl - TCU over Ohio State
    • After seeing the Buckeyes cough up their best shot at winning a title in years, I seriously question their ability to win the big game.  TCU is firing on all cylinders, and that defense is every bit as good as last years

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